Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview, & Odds 7 24 2024

Ober is a fly-ball pitcher, allowing too many barrels, and Philadelphia should be able to jump on his fastball here. He’ll have a difficult matchup against a Minnesota lineup that crushes left-handing pitching. The Twins rank third in the league in wRC+ and wOBA against southpaws. Castro, Correa, Buxton, and Carlos Santana all have an OPS above .900 against lefties.

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One thing he does very well is get opposing teams to chase pitches off the plate. With his chase rate, walk rate, and ability to induce weak contact, Nola should be able to have a good game against the Twins Wednesday night. The Phillies show mixed signals in their recent betting trends. They have struggled in their last few outings with a 2-4 straight-up record but have a strong performance history against American League Central teams (6-2 SU). Their ability to perform well mid-week (7-2 SU on Wednesdays) may offer a slight edge. The Phillies are set up to have their three best pitchers on the mound for this series.

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The odds and lines presented in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change. The leading online sportsbooks offer 200+ MLB betting options in an individual baseball game, which is quite impressive but may seem overwhelming to some. To help you narrow it down, we’ve listed the most common bets on Major League Baseball. Find the best MLB odds and maximize your winnings with our reliable and up-to-date MLB betting lines. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the scene, our platform provides all the information you need to place your baseball bets with confidence. The Minnesota Twins and Byron Buxton hit the field in the final game of a three-game series against Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday at Target Field.

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Minnesota does work walks more, but Wheeler is typically good at limiting those. The veteran righty has held his last 98 batters to a .079 ISO and wOBA of .247. He’s also added 27.6% of strikeouts and has walked just 6.1% of batters in the last month. The Phillies will pitch Zack Wheeler in the second game of the series.

Minnesota Twins

The Minnesota Twins have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. While Ober has only had two scoreless outings this season, he has only blown up just once. He’s good at limiting hard contact while doing everything else at an above-average level. He is a perfectly fine pitcher — solid and above-average with a 4.14 ERA and 3.63 xERA. Ranger Suarez has gone from middle reliever to back-of-the-rotation starter to Cy Young candidate for the Phillies. While the Twins don’t strike out at a high rate, the lineup has less power and a lower wOBA against righties than lefties.

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• It might be that he’s having less luck than he did earlier in the season, as the same number of hits are landing in the field of play as always.
• The Phillies show mixed signals in their recent betting trends.
• With the Phillies, Ranger Suarez went from a middle reliever to a supporting starter and a Cy Young candidate.
• The Phillies have hit 160 doubles as a squad and have smacked 123 baseballs out of the park.

Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

Their roster, armed with 123 home runs and 493 points to date, proves that they are ready to launch really effective shots. However, their recent games paint a slightly less impressive picture with the record standing at 2-4 in the last 6 games. On the road they have impressed, even though the total has gone under in these situations, maybe they have been playing better defense on the road, on average. Willi Castro leads the Twins at the dish with 93 hits including 24 doubles and 5 triples as well as 32 RBIs and 10 stolen bases. Ryan Jeffers has a team-high 14 home runs, 47 RBIs and 18 doubles with a .237 batting average and .320 OBP. Carlos Santana has 14 home runs with 44 RBIs while Carlos Correa has 13 home runs, 47 RBIs and 16 doubles.

• Our top pick for the Phillies vs. Twins game on Tuesday is to bet on the Twins moneyline (+140).
• Of all the talented teams in Major League Baseball, the consensus seems to be that the New York Yankees are the most popular among fans.
• The sportsbooks believe the Phillies are more likely to win Game 1.
• The Phillies’ offense, ranked 5th in MLB, will be a tough test for Okert.
• In 19 starts, the pitcher earned All-Star honors, going 10-4 with an ERA of 2.76.
• The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Phillies vs. Twins MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Prediction

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Minnesota Twins’ bullpen ranks as the 7th-best among all teams in the majors. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Kyle Schwarber has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.6-mph to 96-mph over the past two weeks.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has a 51% chance of staying under. The Twins will have Simeon Woods Richardson (3-1, 3.51 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Zack Wheeler (10-4, 2.70 ERA) for the Phillies. If so, check your eligibility for Bet365 bonus code “DIMERS”, which unlocks an $1,150 betting bonus in Pennsylvania for the first time week. A first five innings moneyline is a wager that only takes into account the outcome of a game’s first five innings.

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These are often season-long or playoff-long wagers, which do not depend upon the result of a single baseball game. As the baseball season for MLB teams is divided into many series of consecutive games against the same opponent, you can also wager on the winner of the series. The Phillies have the best record in MLB, while Suarez has been one of their best pitchers.

Phillies vs. Twins prediction, odds, pick – 7/24/2024

The Twins have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are at risk of losing their loose grip on a Wild Card spot. Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily. Steven Okert (3-1) with a 4.49 ERA, 1.40 WHIP in 28.2 innings. Here’s everything you need to know before checking out today’s MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook. Set up your new account and get a free $60 in premium member only picks here.

This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data. It’s been a plus pitch for him in the past, but his heater has a negative run value this year, allowing a .307 average and .410 wOBA. He has used his fastball 38.9% this season, nearly 10% lower than prior years. The decrease makes sense because all his secondary pitchers have been plus.

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If you purchase a product or register for an account through a link on our site, we may receive compensation. If you or a loved one has questions or needs to talk to a professional about gambling, call GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net for more information. Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the Twins (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 51% chance of staying under. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

Have you ever glanced at an odds table and felt like you were deciphering ancient hieroglyphics? Don’t worry, understanding the odds is much simpler than it seems. Whether you’re a newbie to baseball betting or a seasoned pro in need of a quick refresher, we’ve got your back. The Phils have thrived when Nola is on the mound, winning 14 of the 15 starts in 2024 where he’s pitched at least six innings. The Twins lost 8-7 against the Milwaukee Brewers Sunday as -156 home favorites. CF Byron Buxton hit 2 solo shots for Minnesota, which has lost 3 straight games.

The bullpen have 51 holds over the course of the season (15th in the league). Phillies relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 66 times in addition to having 107 appearances in high leverage situations. This website is using a security service to protect itself from online attacks. The action you just performed triggered the security solution. There are several actions that could trigger this block including submitting a certain word or phrase, a SQL command or malformed data.

Dodgers vs. Yankees World Series Prediction: Will Ohtani have big performance in Game 3?

They have allowed 117 long balls and they yield 4.47 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The Twins hold a team WHIP of 1.174 in addition to having a FIP of 3.83 as a pitching staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.20 (897 strikeouts vs 248 walks).

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

The potential National League Cy Young award candidate has allowed a .181 ISO and wOBA of .378 to his last 102 batters. He’s also struck out 16.7% of batters over the previous month and has allowed more than 50% of hard contact. Yet, the Twins are still fighting for a playoff spot in the AL. Imagine the Twins if the entire team could get healthy simultaneously.

Total Runs Facts

Based on the comprehensive analysis and the teams’ current form and historical performances, this game leans slightly in favor of the Philadelphia Phillies. Their robust lineup and stronger pitching suggest they might cover the spread and possibly win outright, especially considering Nola’s reliability. Aaron Nola has become almost a sure bet for the Phillies in this year’s with a commendable 3.54 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and having pitched 124.2 innings. Thus, he might decide to strike out batters (120 strikeouts to this point) while limiting himself to walking too many batters (28 walks). Nola could be one of the most important tools that can help in defeating the Twins’ rather powerful lineup, especially at their home field. PointSpreads.com publishes daily content and sports data, including scoreboards, team stats, player stats, odds, and occasional betting advice by professional pundits.

Conversely, Suarez will compete against Bailey Ober of the Twins. Ober is a right-handed pitcher, who has tallied 33% of strikeouts over the last month. The Twins righty has also allowed just 4% of walks and has given up only 17.5% of line drives in the previous 30 days. That’s one of the many reasons for his wOBA of .246 against his last 100 batters faced. The sportsbooks believe the Phillies are more likely to win Game 1.

The Twins are a decent hitting team, but Wheeler has the stuff, and the ability to shut them down. If Wheeler continues his season the way it has been going, the Twins will win. Stay informed with the most recent MLB news and our data-driven MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division. Our model’s strongest edge in today’s Phillies vs. Twins matchup is on the total. All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

• In our fifth decade of existence, Doc’s Sports is the gold standard in the sports handicapping industry.
• The Twins will win the close games they play because their pitching staff can shut down other teams when it matters.
• The leading online sportsbooks offer 200+ MLB betting options in an individual baseball game, which is quite impressive but may seem overwhelming to some.
• The Phillies bullpen have a save percentage of 63.4% and stepped onto the hill in 93 save situations.
• The 6’4” right-handed hitter is batting .292 with an OPS of .863 during day games this season.
• The Phillies are going with Wheeler, who has been lights out in his last four outings.

The Twins are just 4-6 in their last 10 games, but they’ve been a solid team at home all season, going seven games over .500 (28-21). Indian Cowboy has one of the most watched and popular sports algorithms in the Country on youtube. He offers 3 free selections per day discussing the algorithms and metrics behind the game. IC’s free selections are well known for being phillies twins prediction one of the best in the country and does an extra live show once a week. Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis. This betting advice is formulated through world-class simulations and valuable betting intelligence, designed to assist you in making more informed decisions. ClutchPoints is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any way connected to any sportsbook. We predict the Phillies, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Twins on Tuesday. Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Woods Richardson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 10-4 with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 116.2 innings pitched this year. Wheeler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. On the mound for the Twins will be left-hander Steven Okert, making his first start of the season after 34 bullpen appearances. Okert has been somewhat unlucky this year, with a 4.40 ERA but a more promising 3.48 xERA, suggesting he might perform better than his surface stats indicate. However, his projections for today are less than encouraging, with just 1.0 innings pitched, 0.6 earned runs, and 1.1 strikeouts on average.

The Minnesota Twins are on the year after playing the Brewers and Giants. The Minnesota Twins have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 9 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 92 hits and 30 RBI while Carlos Correa and Jose Miranda have combined for 189 hits and 90 RBI. The Philadelphia Phillies are on the year after playing the Pirates and Athletics.

The Phillies are expecting their three best pitchers to take the floor in this series. Philadelphia has dominated the National League all year, but the weight of the season might be catching up to the Phillies. They’ve been getting every opponent’s best shot, and the past two series might have shown some of the effects.

They rank 8th in the league holding a save rate of 68.2%, and they have dispatched 318 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their relievers have come in 121 times in high leverage situations in addition to 78 occasions with runners on. Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 46.5% out of 114 inherited runners. With 106 save situations, the Twins have accrued 61 holds and also 14 blown saves. The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Woods Richardson is a right-handed pitcher, 3-1 with a 3.51 ERA on the season. He’s recently walked a high rate of lefties and has allowed a high ISO to righties over the last 30 days. He’s not nearly as consistent as Wheeler and has only struck out 21.3% of batters over the previous month. But overall, the lineup of notable names has only hit a .183 ISO and wOBA of .321 over the last 30 days. The lineup has also struck out 21.7% of the time and has earned only 7.5% of walks. But before his Il stint, he had hit a .261 average with seven home runs and 20 RBIs in 51 games.

But before you place your first MLB bet at an online sportsbook, let’s review what the pros already know. Premium game analysis suggests that while the Twins could exploit any slip-up by Nola, the Phillies’ overall consistency and batting strength will likely prevail. The Twins’ recent performance has been shaky, and their betting trends reflect this instability. Although they are 2-5 SU against National League opponents, they maintain a solid 7-3 SU record against NL East teams.

Despite being ten games above .500, the Twins are just a game away from being knocked out of the AL Wild Card. Meanwhile, the Phillies will take on the Minnesota Twins, who can’t relax as much as the Phillies. The Twins are five games out of the AL Central and fighting amongst many for an AL Wild Card spot. The Philadelphia Phillies are currently the best team in the National League. They’re and lead the NL East by 8.5 games over the Atlanta Braves. Bailey Ober is a pretty normal pitcher — solid and above average with a 4.14 ERA and 3.63 xERA.

Used primarily in Ireland and the United Kingdom, fractions show the profit you would receive for a successful bet. In fractional odds, the numerator represents how much a bettor stands to win while the denominator indicates the amount of a stake. The odds indicate how much you need to bet and identify which of the two teams is the underdog and favorite.